ELECTORAL MAP IMPROVES FOR TRUMP – 3 Clinton Leaning States Have Shifted to “Toss Up”

While Clinton continues to have a structural advantage in the electoral map, there is no doubt Donald Trump is surging and his positive momentum is beginning to have an effect in several state primaries.

Keep in mind, this map is also created based on polling averages which likely are using an outdated turnout model and are assuming democratic voters will turn out as strongly for Hillary as they did for Obama. There are many signs this will not be the case.

Given this inherent bias, Clinton leaning states currently amount to 229 electoral votes, whereas Trump leaning states amount to 154 electoral votes. 155 electoral votes are up for grabs in the “Toss Up” category and 270 electoral votes are needed for victory.

A closer look at the numbers shows an improving landscape for Trump. The last 3 changes in state status have all been in favor of Trump as 3 states (VIRGINIA, PENNSYLVANIA, and WISCONSIN have moved from the “Leaning Clinton” to “Toss Up Category.”

It is likely as Trump’s 3 week positive momentum continues, more states that are currently leaning Clinton, such as Michigan, may also move to the “Toss Up Category” creating a dead heat where 12-15 states will ultimately determine who will be the next President of the United States.

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