DID YOU KNOW? Trump 2016 Would Have Defeated Obama 2012

Donald Trump’s 2016 vote total would have resoundingly defeated Barack Obama in 2012.

This conclusion was reached by a writer at National Review, (ironically the publication that has been anti-Trump throughout and published their incredibly smug “Against Trump” edition that was rightfully lambasted by Trump supporters across the nation.)

This red / blue map of Trump / Hillary voters really says it all. Outside of a few large cities where latte liberalism is trendy, Trump completely trounced Hillary across America.

Now let’s look at how Trump would have defeated Obama as well.  (via)

FLORIDA — 29 EVs — 98 percent reporting
Obama 2012: 4,235,270 Clinton 2016: 4,485,745
Romney 2012: 4,162,081 Trump 2016: 4,605,515

Conclusion: Trump beats Obama by some 370,000 votes and wins Florida. 

PENNSYLVANIA — 20 EVs — 97 percent reporting
Obama 2012: 2,907,448 Clinton 2016: 2,844,705
Romney 2012: 2,619,583 Trump 2016: 2,912,941

Conclusion: Trump squeezes past Obama by a margin of some 5,000 votes and wins Pennsylvania. 

OHIO — 18 EVs – 94 percent reporting
Obama 2012: 2,697,260 Clinton 2016: 2,317,001
Romney 2012: 2,593,779 Trump 2016: 2,771,984

Conclusion: Trump edges Obama by roughly 75,000 votes and wins Ohio. (Note: Clinton’s worst battleground state showing was Ohio, winning 380,000 [!] fewer votes than Obama.)  

Stop right there and crunch the numbers: Florida (29) + Pennsylvania (20) + Ohio (18) = 67 EVs. Romney finished with 206 EVs. By protecting all of those, and then taking 67 from Obama, Trump would hit 273 and win the presidency.

The question: Did Trump 2016 defeat Obama 2012 in all of the states Romney won? Yes.

Here’s a look at the competitive ones: 
NORTH CAROLINA (98 percent reporting): Trump 2,339,603 … Obama 2,178,388
ARIZONA (73 percent reporting): Trump 947,284 … Obama 930,669
GEORGIA (93 percent reporting): Trump 2,068,623 … Obama 1,761,761
UTAH (78 percent reporting): Trump 360,634 … Obama 229,463

A review of the Romney 2012 states confirms that Trump, in this hypothetical matchup, would have carried every single one against Obama.

Final Result : Trump 273, Obama 265.

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